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The PSOE would be the first force in the elections to the European Parliament

Madrid, 23 May 2024

Nota Informativa

  • The socialists would achieve between 32.8% and 35.2% of the votes on June 9, according to the pre-election survey carried out by the CIS
  • The PP would be the second force and would obtain between 27.9% and 30.2% of the votes
  • 75.2% of those surveyed believe that belonging to the European Union “has rather benefited us” as a country
  • 28.8% will decide which party to vote for in the last week of the campaign
  • The PSOE candidate, Teresa Ribera, is the best rated and the only one who approves with a 5.3

The CIS has carried out the pre-election survey for the elections to the European Parliament that will be held on June 9. According to this study, the PSOE would be the first force and would achieve between 21 and 24 seats. The PP would obtain between 18 and 20, VOX, in third position, would obtain between 5 and 6, SUMAR 4 seats, Podemos between 2 and 3, and the Ahora Repúblicas coalition between 2 and 3 seats.
75.2% of those surveyed believe that belonging to the European Union “has rather benefited us” as a country compared to 19.4% who believe that “it has rather harmed us.”

Regarding the elections on June 9, 64.3% say they are “very or quite interested,” compared to 34.8% who say they are “little or not at all interested.” Taking into account the international context of instability, 62.1% consider these elections more important than other previous European elections.

Young people from 18 to 24 years old

63% consider themselves little or not at all informed about matters related to the European Union, being the age group with the highest percentage in this sense. Although 62.6% are very or quite interested in these European elections.
82.4% believe that belonging to the European Union has benefited Spain, being the age group with the highest percentage in this sense.

51% say they feel “European and Spanish citizens at the same time”, the highest percentage among the different age groups.
When voting in the European elections, they will give more importance to issues related to the current political situation in Spain (70.8%) compared to issues related to the European Union and the European Parliament (25.75). And 43.3% think that in the European elections it may be convenient to vote for a different party than the one voted for in the general elections.

European Parliament

74.3% would like the European Parliament to have a more important role, while 16.1% want it to remain the same. 7.5% want it to have a less important role.

Regarding the future of the European Parliament, in 5 years, 78.3% of the population wants the institution to have a more important role, 12.1% want it to have the same role and 7.6% want its role be less.

When asked about the party that best defends the interests of Spain in the European Parliament, for 30.6% it is the PSOE, 22.8% say the PP, 10.3% say VOX, and 5.3% ADD.

40.4% of those surveyed believe that it will be the PP that wins the next European elections, but when asking who they would like to win, the perception changes, 32.4% assure that they want the PSOE to win these elections. elections, with the PP being the second option for 25.4% of those surveyed.

EU related news

66% are interested in news related to the European Union "a lot or quite a lot" compared to 32.7% who say "little or not at all."
45.5% consider that they are “very or fairly informed” about matters related to the EU, while more say that they are “little or not at all informed” - 53.7% - about these matters.

When it comes to voting…

63.5% assure that the most important thing when voting in the European elections will be “the issues related to the current political situation in Spain” and for 29.6% those “related to the EU and the European Parliament” .
Regarding the voting decision, 35.7% indicate that they “always vote for the same party in both the European elections and the general elections”, 21.9% “usually vote for the same party in both the European elections and the general elections”. ”, and 35.5% affirm that “it may be advisable to vote for a different party than the one voted for in the general elections.”

59% decide their vote “long before the start of the electoral campaign”, 10.4% decide it “at the beginning of the electoral campaign”, 16.5% decide it “during the last week of the campaign”, 6.1% during the day of reflection, and 6.2% on election day itself.

Reasons to choose a party

49.7% decide the party "because it best represents the ideas of people like him", 29.6% because of "the general situation of Europe in the world" and 29.2% choose it "because the effects on national politics.

Candidates

The PSOE candidate, Teresa Ribera, is the only one who approves with a 5.3, followed by the PP candidate, Dolors Montserrat, with a 4.5 and, in third place, is the SUMAR candidate, Estrella Galán, with a 3.89. Regarding who has the best candidate for the European Parliament, 23.8% have assured that the PSOE, 20% that the PP, 8.4% VOX and 3.8% SUMAR.

Sense of belonging

44.9% say that they feel like a “European and Spanish citizen at the same time”, 26.6% say that “especially a Spanish citizen”, 21.3% “a citizen of the world” and 4.7% “ especially European citizens.”

Election campaign

77.8% believe that “the majority of people have already decided on their vote and the campaign will have little influence”, and personally, 78.7% affirm that “they have already decided what they will do and the campaign will not influence them. Only 15.7% assure that “the campaign will greatly influence their decision.”
These and other data are collected in the pre-election survey of the European elections carried out from May 8 to 17 with 6,434 interviews.

Esta información puede ser usada en parte o en su integridad sin necesidad de citar fuentes.

C/ Montalbán, 8
28014 Madrid
Email: comunicacion@cis.es
Tlf.: 91.580.76.25
Fax: 91.531.81.31

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