CIS - Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas

• According to the survey “Campaign for the autonomous elections of the Basque Country, EH-Bildu would achieve between 34.2% and 35.1% of the votes and the PNV between 32.6% and 33.5%
• The PSE would reach between 13.3% and 14.1% and consolidates itself as the third force
• 28.9% affirm that they will decide their vote during the last week of the campaign

The CIS has carried out the survey “Campaign for the autonomous elections of the Basque Country” in view of the elections that will be held on April 21. This study reveals a slight advantage for EH-Bildu (34.2%-35.1%), over the PNV, which would obtain between 32.6% and 33.5%. The PSOE would consolidate itself as the third force (13.3%-14.1%). The PP would be the fourth force in the Basque parliament with 6.7%-7%. Elkarrekin- Podemos would get between 3.1%-3.2% of the votes. Adding up, you would get between 3.1% and 3.6% and VOX would get between 2.7% and 3%.

The Press, favorite for information

The preferred medium for Basques to find out about party programs and candidates' proposals is the press in printed or digital format with 62.4%, followed by Television for 59.6%. Radio occupies third place, with 40.6% and in fourth place are social networks, which is the medium chosen by 37.6%.

Regarding the monitoring of the campaign in the media, 37.8% say that it helps them “a lot or a lot” to see the differences that exist between some parties and others, 88.5% say that it helps them “a little or a lot” nothing” to change their voting decision and 65.1% acknowledge that it does not help them get to know the candidates better.

42.7% of Basques claim to be following with “a lot or quite a lot of interest” the news and topics related to the upcoming regional elections, while 56.6% claim to have “little or no” interest in the topic.

When voting

71.8% say that in these elections they will give more importance to the political party when voting, 14.4% to the candidate, and 4.8% say both. Furthermore, 3.2% say that what matters most to them is the electoral program.

Fidelity and voting decision

31.6% of Basques affirm that they always vote for the same party, 25.8% that they generally “tend to” always vote for the same party and 35.1% according to “whatever suits them best at that time”. moment”, they vote for one party or another, or they do not vote.

57.2% assure that they decide their vote long before the start of the electoral campaign, 10.6% do so at the beginning of the campaign, 16.9% during the last week of the campaign, 5.1% during the day of reflection and 6.9% on the day of the elections. Furthermore, 1.5% are already clear that they will abstain. Furthermore, 67.1% of those surveyed affirm that they have already decided on their vote for April 21, while 30.1% say that they still hesitate.

Candidate evaluation

The EH Bildu candidate, Pello Otxandiano, is the best rated with 5.51, in second place is the PNV candidate, Imanol Pradales, with 5.47. In third position is the PSE candidate, Eneko Andueza, with 4.70 and is followed by the Podemos candidate, Miran Gorratxategi, with 4.41.

The candidate that Basques believe cares most about the problems of Euskadi is Otxandiano with 25.7%, followed by Pradales with 24.8% and Andueza with 5%.

Preference as Lehendakari

29.8% of Basques would like EAJ-PNV to win the elections, followed by EH Bildu (29%) and PSE-EE-PSOE (11.2%).
28.2% want Imanol Pradales to be the Lehendakari of the Basque Country after the regional elections, 26.8% want him to be Otxandiano and 8.9% want him to be the PSE candidate, Eneko Andueza. 4% point to the PP candidate, Javier de Andrés.

These and other data are collected in the pre-election survey carried out from March 18 to 22 with 4,998 interviews.

Esta información puede ser usada en parte o en su integridad sin necesidad de citar fuentes.

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Email: comunicacion@cis.es
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Press release